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action or later. Please see Debugging in WordPress for more information. (This message was added in version 6.7.0.) in /home4/scienrds/scienceandnerds/wp-includes/functions.php on line 6114Source:https:\/\/www.quantamagazine.org\/inside-scientists-life-saving-prediction-of-the-iceland-eruption-20240220\/#comments<\/a><\/br> The geophysical techniques scientists are using to take the pulse of Svartsengi\u2019s magmatic heart aren\u2019t just tracking the hazard in real time. They\u2019re also helping to construct a picture of the arteries that funnel all that magma to the surface \u2014 which is crucial for understanding the entire peninsula and how it might behave on longer time frames.<\/p>\n Fagradalsfjall and Svartsengi \u2014 the two currently active volcanic systems \u2014 are separated by just a few miles. Despite their proximity, geologic evidence strongly suggests that they are distinct systems. Their subterranean architectures are manifestly different. At Fagradalsfjall, magma rushes from the mantle straight to the surface, while at Svartsengi, it\u2019s temporarily stored in the shallow crust.<\/p>\n And yet, puzzlingly, the two systems seem to draw material from the same source in Earth\u2019s mantle, suggesting a deep connection.<\/p>\n Ed Marshall<\/a>, a geochemist at the University of Iceland, has studied freshly scooped lava from eruptions at both sites to try to determine how the two volcanic systems are connected and why they\u2019ve been taking turns erupting. \u201cYou want to park in a place where the gas and lava aren\u2019t going to take you out,\u201d he said. Then \u201cyou walk in, you scoop the sample, and you get the heck out.\u201d<\/p>\n In general, Icelandic lavas display similar chemical patterns. But \u201cFagradalsfjall has the world\u2019s weirdest melt chemistry,\u201d Marshall said, referring to the specific mixture of elements and compounds that make up its magmatic soup. \u201cIt\u2019s actually not just weird. It\u2019s unique.\u201d Unique, that is, except that the Svartsengi lava has almost exactly the same chemical fingerprints<\/a>, even though Fagradalsfjall and Svartsengi are seemingly independent volcanic systems. \u201cThat makes absolutely no sense,\u201d Marshall said. \u201cNature\u2019s just messing with us at this point.\u201d<\/p>\n But \u201cif things are physically connected at depth,\u201d he said, \u201cthat\u2019s a pretty elegant solution to the whole problem.\u201d<\/p>\n Seismic analysis of the peninsula\u2019s volcanism is ongoing. Scientists hope to be able to forecast where it will emerge next in the coming months and years, as they did with the recent eruptions. As a start, Halld\u00f3r Geirsson<\/a>, a geophysicist at the University of Iceland, and his colleagues are using satellite radar to map faults and fractures on the peninsula during this period of unrest, which they suggest can reveal hidden faults<\/a>, including those that may be the sites of future fissure eruptions.<\/p>\n There\u2019s no guarantee that subsequent eruptions will follow the same pattern as Svartsengi\u2019s recent outbursts \u2014 the sill-dike heart of the system is not necessarily a fixed feature. \u201cEvery time you have an eruption, you change the plumbing system. It doesn\u2019t reset back to zero,\u201d Mitchell said.<\/p>\n Grindav\u00edk\u2019s future habitability is an open question, and it remains to be seen whether the peninsula\u2019s other towns will be confronted with torrents of lava. Reykjanes Peninsula\u2019s new hypervolcanic era has just begun, and it could last years, decades, perhaps even centuries.<\/p>\n \u201cUnfortunately, there\u2019s no good news ahead,\u201d J\u00f3nsd\u00f3ttir said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/br><\/br><\/br><\/p>\n
\nInside Scientists\u2019 Life-Saving Prediction of the Iceland Eruption<\/br>
\n2024-02-21 21:58:28<\/br><\/p>\nGeochemical Revelations<\/strong><\/h2>\n